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The process could start very soon. The first COVID-19 vaccine is anticipated to be authorized by the Food and Drug Administration within the next month, with distribution to start in no more than 24 hours to every state in the union. A second vaccine could be authorized two weeks later. Enough vaccine for 20 million people is expected to be available in December, with more coming in 2021.
I listened to the press conference on the way to my weekly Walmart drive up supply run. A reporter asked what good it would do since it's only at night. The reply was pretty clear. It's a warning. If the trend doesn't change then the full lockdown will be back.It's a contrast of two Americas where California and New York are locking down again with 3-4% positivity rates. It took positivity rates of 50% or higher in other states to trigger restrictions. A very concerning thing at today's press conference is that the hospitalization rate in CA is 12%. With 10,000 new cases a day it doesn't take many days for that to add up.
Where is the map? I would love to see!
"We've got to make sure that people get vaccinated. So if 75-85 percent of the people in the country get vaccinated as the vaccine becomes available, and the general public, not speaking of the people of the highest priority who have underlying conditions - the young men and women," he explained."If they get vaccinated through April, May and June, and really do a full-court press to get everybody vaccinated, you can get back to normal or at least approaching close to normal, as you get into the late summer and early fall."
Check out this video of Dr. Fauci from either today or yesterday: You are not allowed to view links. Register or LoginHe says, This is incredibly exciting news, both for the country in general and potentially for SDCCI as well. If Dr. Fauci's timeline is doable (and that will be on both the current Trump Administration as well as incoming Biden Administration to role-out the vaccine process nationally), that could mean a significant amount of us vaccinated by mid-July making SDCCI a much more viable proposition for all involved. I'm a musician/music teacher, not a scientist, so I honestly don't know if this is more 'best-case-scenario' type of thinking or how realistic this is, but I do know the CA Governor announced yesterday that the state was getting hundreds of thousands of vaccines in the next few weeks to start distributing to 'Phase 1' folks (front-line + hospital workers, way high-risk folks, nursing home workers, etc) so it feels like a vaccine is starting to get rolled out before Christmas!After nine months of gloom, as well as current events that are horrendous and depressing (our country experience MASSIVE spikes), this light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel news is really cause of celebration, I think. My 'hopeful optimism' is definitely growing!
The timeline is ENTIRELY realistic. I actually think it can be done sooner.
The other, and please note this is a total hunch on one of my friends part, is around the different temperature requirements for the pfizer and moderna vaccines. His suspicion is that the pfizer vaccine might actually work being stored at a higher temp but that the temperature is part of the testing process and that they went the safer route by using a colder temp while the (much much smaller company) moderna took a cheekier approach and tested at the higher temp.Time will tell on the hunch, but I found the first thing interesting and welcome news.
Interesting piece in The NY Times today: a guesstimate of where you'd be in line for the vaccine.Spoiler: much deeper than any Comic-Con line I’ve ever waited in 😬You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login
Very cool! Though I don't much like where I am in the line...